Group · Match 14FIFA World Cup 2026
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
FT0 – 0
Cape Verde Islands
Manager: Pedro Leitão Brito
Atlanta Stadium · Monday, 15 June 2026 · 17:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
2.0549%
11
2.1048%
Tie
8.0013%
Tie 55
8.0013%
Tie 66
8.0013%
Source: bet365 · 5 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.1488%
22
7.0014%
Neither
26.004%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
12 TO 14 RANGE
Most likely band is 12 to 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
7.2
Spain · for
qualifying, per game
12.6
Total corners · projected
μ 12.57
5.4
Cape Verde Islands · for
qualifying, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market

Asian Total Corners 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
Above Estimate
1.25
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+52.9%
Above Est.
Under 9.5
Below Estimate
5.10
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-61.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:29older price · 150d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Corners

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Spain -0.5
Above Estimate
1.59
Estimate
2.37
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
+18.2%
Above Est.
Cape Verde Islands +0.5
Below Estimate
2.72
Estimate
1.51
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-31.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jun 09:30older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 09:30older price · 145d ago
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
2.0549%
11
2.1048%
Tie
8.0013%
Tie 55
8.0013%
Tie 66
8.0013%
Source: bet365 · 5 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.1488%
22
7.0014%
Neither
26.004%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
SpainCape Verde Islands
7.2
Corners for / g
5.4
2.7
Corners against / g
4.0
9.8
Match corners / g
9.4
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q100%
Team corners O3.5
Q80%
Q83%
Team corners O4.5
Q70%
Q83%
Match corners O8.5
Q70%
Q67%
Match corners O9.5
Q30%
Q33%
Match corners O10.5
Q30%
Differential profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.5 · SPAIN
Spain
+4.5
net per game
For
7.2
Against
2.7
Cape Verde Islands
+1.4
net per game
For
5.4
Against
4.0