Group · Match 14FIFA World Cup 2026
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
FT0 – 0
Cape Verde Islands
Manager: Pedro Leitão Brito
Atlanta Stadium · Monday, 15 June 2026 · 17:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
5.70
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
-52.4%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.22
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
+21.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jun 12:10older price · 157d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds4.28vs book · Bet3652.62STATS DIFF -38.8%
17
Spain
17% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
1/6
30
Cape Verde Islands
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference
1.08
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.04
Marathonbet
-1.0%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
15.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
7.20
Marathonbet
-50.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 16:45older price · 144d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.25vs book · Marathonbet1.04STATS DIFF -16.8%
100
Spain
100% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
6/6
60
Cape Verde Islands
60% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
1.24
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
+13.3%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
5.40
Estimate
3.50
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
-32.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jun 16:45older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 16:45older price · 144d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.62vs book · Bet3651.36STATS DIFF -16.2%
83
Spain
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
5/6
40
Cape Verde Islands
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate
1.58
Estimate
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
+13.7%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
2.76
Estimate
2.16
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
-20.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 16:45older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 16:45older price · 144d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.31vs book · Marathonbet1.74STATS DIFF -24.6%
67
Spain
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
4/6
20
Cape Verde Islands
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 25, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Spain
6 games · 0 goalless
14'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Cape Verde Islands
10 games · 1 goalless
33'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Spain to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.0% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.02
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.00
Marathonbet
+1.0%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate
65.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
18.75
Marathonbet
-70.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 16:45older price · 144d ago
Market

Cape Verde Islands to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
5.60
Estimate
2.71
Pinnacle
2.53
Marathonbet
-53.1%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.23
Estimate
1.45
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
+27.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 16:45older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 09:30older price · 145d ago
Group HView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Spain
32105-0+57
2
Cape Verde Islands
30302-203
3
Uruguay
30213-4-12
4
Saudi Arabia
30211-5-42
Other Group H matches5
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