Group · Match 38FIFA World Cup 2026
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
FT4 – 0
Saudi Arabia
Manager: Giorgios Donis
10' L. Yamal21' M. Oyarzabal24' M. Oyarzabal49' H. Tambakti (OG)
Atlanta Stadium · Sunday, 21 June 2026 · 17:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.8355%11
2.2544%Tie 66
8.5012%Tie
8.5012%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
2.2544%22
6.5015%Neither
41.002%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
12 TO 14 RANGE
Most likely band is 12 to 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
7.2
Spain · for
qualifying, per game
12.0
Total corners · projected
4.8
Saudi Arabia · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 10
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 10
Above Estimate1.38
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+41.8%
Above Est.
Under 10
Below Estimate3.70
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-47.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:30older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Spain -0.5
Above Estimate1.54
Estimate
1.48
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+26.7%
Above Est.
Saudi Arabia +0.5
Below Estimate2.86
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-31.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 21 Jun 09:30older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 21 Jun 09:30older price · 139d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.8355%11
2.2544%Tie 66
8.5012%Tie
8.5012%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
2.2544%22
6.5015%Neither
41.002%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
SpainSaudi Arabia
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q100%Team corners O3.5Q67%
Q83%Team corners O4.5Q61%
Q83%Match corners O8.5Q50%
Q67%Match corners O9.5Q28%
Q33%Match corners O10.5Q22%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.5 · SPAIN
Spain
+4.5
net per game
Saudi Arabia
+1.2
net per game
Group HView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5-0 | +5 | 7 | |
| 2 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | -1 | 2 | |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | -4 | 2 |
Other Group H matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.