Group · Match 37FIFA World Cup 2026
Uruguay
Manager: Marcelo Bielsa Caldera
FT2 – 2
Cape Verde Islands
Manager: Pedro Leitão Brito
44' M. Araújo45+6' A. Canobbio
21' K. Lenini61' H. Varela
Miami Stadium · Sunday, 21 June 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.1048%Tie 33
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3077%22
3.4029%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.4
Uruguay · for
qualifying, per game
9.8
Total corners · projected
5.4
Cape Verde Islands · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
Above Estimate1.94
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+5.8%
Above Est.
Under 9.5
Below Estimate2.08
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-10.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:31older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Uruguay -0.5
Below Estimate2.98
Estimate
1.74
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-37.5%
Below Est.
Cape Verde Islands +0.5
Above Estimate1.51
Estimate
1.84
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+36.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 21 Jun 09:31older price · 138d agoPinnacleas of 21 Jun 09:31older price · 138d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.1048%Tie 33
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3077%22
3.4029%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
UruguayCape Verde Islands
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q50%Team corners O3.5Q80%
Q44%Team corners O4.5Q70%
Q44%Match corners O8.5Q70%
Q39%Match corners O9.5Q30%
Q33%Match corners O10.5Q30%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+1.4 · CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
Uruguay
-0.1
net per game
Cape Verde Islands
+1.4
net per game
Group HView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5-0 | +5 | 7 | |
| 2 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | -1 | 2 | |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | -4 | 2 |
Other Group H matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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