SBI
LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
DDWWW
  • Montaño (pen) 56'
  • Paradela 72'
FT2 – 1
León
WDLWD
  • Alvarado (pen) 90+10'
Monday, 2 November 2026 · 01:10 · Mexico City Stadium
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.7
Cruz Azul · for
at home, per game
11.5
Total corners · projected
μ 11.45
4.7
León · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price15.00
Fair10.59
LOST
6 to 8
Price4.00
Fair5.61
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair2.46
WON
12 to 14
Price3.60
Fair4.00
LOST
Over 14
Price6.50
Fair13.95
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.42
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.45
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.18
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Cruz AzulLeón
5.7
Corners for · per game
4.7
4.1
Corners against · per game
5.1
Hit rates · over markets
L2080%
Over 3.5 corners
L2060%
L2065%
Over 4.5 corners
L2047%
L2052%
Over 5.5 corners
L2036%
L2051%
Over 9.5 total
L2051%
L2040%
Over 10.5 total
L2033%
L2052%
Match corners W%
L2043%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
11%
Under 6
3%
22%
6 to 8
17%
37%
9 to 11
49%
26%
12 to 14
26%
4%
Over 14
6%
Cruz Azul · 46 matchesLeón · 35 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.8 · CRUZ AZUL
Cruz Azul · home
+2.8
net per game
For
6.5
Against
3.7
León · away
-1.4
net per game
For
4.4
Against
5.8
Market

Cruz Azul Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
1.98
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
2.04
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

León Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.44
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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