SBI
LA LIGA
Athletic Club
DDDLW
  • Williams 14'
  • Berenguer (pen) 45+2'
FT2 – 1
Real Sociedad
WDWWW
  • Sucic 30'
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 20:00 · San Mamés Barria
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.9
Athletic Club · for
at home, per game
11.1
Total corners · projected
μ 11.05
5.1
Real Sociedad · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair10.19
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.20
Fair3.72
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair2.84
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair5.27
WON
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair10.90
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.51
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.00
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
2.09
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Athletic ClubReal Sociedad
5.3
Corners for · per game
5.7
4.0
Corners against · per game
4.6
Hit rates · over markets
L2080%
Over 3.5 corners
L2068%
L2059%
Over 4.5 corners
L2063%
L2039%
Over 5.5 corners
L2050%
L2047%
Over 9.5 total
L2059%
L2037%
Over 10.5 total
L2046%
L2066%
Match corners W%
L2060%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
12%
Under 6
8%
29%
6 to 8
25%
34%
9 to 11
35%
15%
12 to 14
25%
10%
Over 14
8%
Athletic Club · 41 matchesReal Sociedad · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.9 · ATHLETIC CLUB
Athletic Club · home
+1.9
net per game
For
5.7
Against
3.7
Real Sociedad · away
-0.1
net per game
For
5.0
Against
5.0
Market

Athletic Club Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.85
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Real Sociedad Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.33
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
4.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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