SBI
BUNDESLIGA
FSV Mainz 05
WLWLW
  • Caci 33'
  • Lee 63'
FT2 – 3
Werder Bremen
WDWDD
  • Füllkrug (pen) 7'
  • Füllkrug (pen) 25'
  • Reis 61'
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 14:30 · Mewa Arena
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.4
FSV Mainz 05 · for
at home, per game
11.2
Total corners · projected
μ 11.22
4.8
Werder Bremen · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair6.13
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.20
Fair4.85
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair3.69
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair3.95
WON
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair9.46
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.28
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.54
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
4.70
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.42
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.47
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.97
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
1.86
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
5.1
Corners for · per game
4.6
4.5
Corners against · per game
5.0
Hit rates · over markets
L2072%
Over 3.5 corners
L2061%
L2055%
Over 4.5 corners
L2047%
L2041%
Over 5.5 corners
L2030%
L2050%
Over 9.5 total
L2057%
L2043%
Over 10.5 total
L2041%
L2054%
Match corners W%
L2042%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
17%
Under 6
22%
26%
6 to 8
14%
30%
9 to 11
28%
22%
12 to 14
25%
4%
Over 14
11%
FSV Mainz 05 · 46 matchesWerder Bremen · 36 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.5 · FSV MAINZ 05
FSV Mainz 05 · home
+2.5
net per game
For
6.1
Against
3.6
Werder Bremen · away
-1.7
net per game
For
4.3
Against
6.1
Market

FSV Mainz 05 Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.62
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.64
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Werder Bremen Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.42
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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