SBI
EUROPA LEAGUE
AFC Bournemouth
WLLWW
  • Kluivert (pen) 8'
  • Tavernier (pen) 32'
  • Adli 84'
FT3 – 0
AC Milan
LWDWW
  • Maignan 27'
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · 20:00 · Vitality Stadium
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.8
AFC Bournemouth · for
at home, per game
11.0
Total corners · projected
μ 11.03
5.2
AC Milan · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price9.00
Fair6.41
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.00
Fair3.08
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair4.55
WON
12 to 14
Price4.75
Fair4.55
LOST
Over 14
Price11.00
Fair12.55
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.65
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
4.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.23
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.51
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.04
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.98
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.78
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
AFC BournemouthAC Milan
5.7
Corners for · per game
4.9
4.9
Corners against · per game
4.2
Hit rates · over markets
L2063%
Over 3.5 corners
L2055%
L2060%
Over 4.5 corners
L2050%
L2051%
Over 5.5 corners
L2039%
L2059%
Over 9.5 total
L2045%
L2047%
Over 10.5 total
L2033%
L2055%
Match corners W%
L2038%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%
Under 6
25%
20%
6 to 8
38%
33%
9 to 11
18%
25%
12 to 14
18%
15%
Over 14
3%
AFC Bournemouth · 40 matchesAC Milan · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.8 · AFC BOURNEMOUTH
AFC Bournemouth · home
+1.8
net per game
For
6.0
Against
4.2
AC Milan · away
-0.2
net per game
For
4.3
Against
4.5
Market

AFC Bournemouth Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.91
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.12
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

AC Milan Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.32
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
4.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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