R32 · Match 86FIFA World Cup 2026
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
FT3 – 2
Cape Verde Islands
Manager: Pedro Leitão Brito
29' L. Messi92' L. Martínez111' D. Borges (OG)
59' D. Duarte103' S. Cabral
Miami Stadium · Friday, 3 July 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Argentina won after extra-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
D. Fischer
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.34
Estimate
1.96
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+52.7%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate4.00
Estimate
1.83
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-55.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d agoPinnacleas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate1.83
Estimate
2.54
Pinnacle
2.85
Unibet
+60.1%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate2.22
Estimate
1.50
Pinnacle
1.35
Unibet
-37.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d agoPinnacleas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Above Estimate2.86
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.05
Unibet
+9.7%
Above Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate1.55
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.32
Unibet
-12.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.52
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+42.9%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate2.96
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-42.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Argentina +0
No Difference1.61
Estimate
3.85
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Cape Verde Islands +0
No Difference2.66
Estimate
1.28
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Kelvin Pires
2.10—Kevin Lenini
2.62—Edilson Diney
2.87—Jamiro Monteiro
3.00—Roberto Lopes
3.00—Yannick Semedo
3.00—Sidny Cabral
3.00—Deroy Duarte
3.40—Ianique Stopira
3.40—Joia Nuno Da Costa
3.40—Steven Moreira
3.75—Jovane Cabral
3.75—Logan Costa
3.75—Helio Varela
3.75—Gilson Benchimol
3.75—Laros Duarte
4.33—Willy Semedo
4.33—Dailon Livramento
4.33—Garry Rodrigues
4.50—Leandro Paredes
4.50—Wagner Pina
4.50—Nicolas Otamendi
4.75—Rodrigo De Paul
4.75—Cristian Romero
4.75—Marcos Senesi
4.75—Ryan Mendes
5.00—Telmo Arcanjo
5.00—Joao Paulo Fernandes
5.00—Facundo Medina
5.50—Lisandro Martinez
5.50—Nicolas Gonzalez
5.50—Nicolas Tagliafico
6.50—Gonzalo Montiel
6.50—Exequiel Palacios
6.50—Nahuel Molina
6.50—Enzo Fernandez
6.50—Valentin Barco
6.50—Jose Flaco Lopez
6.50—Giovani Lo Celso
7.00—Alexis Mac Allister
7.00—Marcio Rosa
7.00—CJ dos Santos
7.00—Giuliano Simeone
7.00—Josimar Vozinha
7.00—Lautaro Martinez
8.00—Nicolas Paz
8.00—Lionel Messi
9.00—Thiago Almada
9.00—Julian Alvarez
11.00—Booked
11.009%Emiliano Martinez
13.00—Juan Musso
21.00—Geronimo Rulli
26.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Kelvin Pires
6.00—Kevin Lenini
8.00—Edilson Diney
9.00—Jamiro Monteiro
9.50—Roberto Lopes
9.50—Yannick Semedo
9.50—Sidny Cabral
9.50—Deroy Duarte
11.00—Joia Nuno Da Costa
11.00—Ianique Stopira
11.00—Steven Moreira
12.00—Jovane Cabral
12.00—Logan Costa
12.00—Helio Varela
12.00—Gilson Benchimol
12.00—Laros Duarte
13.00—Willy Semedo
13.00—Dailon Livramento
13.00—Garry Rodrigues
15.00—Leandro Paredes
15.00—Wagner Pina
15.00—Nicolas Otamendi
17.00—Ryan Mendes
17.00—Rodrigo De Paul
17.00—Cristian Romero
17.00—Marcos Senesi
17.00—Telmo Arcanjo
17.00—Joao Paulo Fernandes
17.00—Facundo Medina
19.00—Lisandro Martinez
19.00—Nicolas Gonzalez
19.00—Nicolas Tagliafico
21.00—Gonzalo Montiel
21.00—Exequiel Palacios
21.00—Nahuel Molina
21.00—Enzo Fernandez
21.00—Valentin Barco
21.00—Jose Flaco Lopez
21.00—Giovani Lo Celso
23.00—Alexis Mac Allister
23.00—Marcio Rosa
23.00—CJ dos Santos
23.00—Giuliano Simeone
23.00—Josimar Vozinha
23.00—Lautaro Martinez
26.00—Nicolas Paz
26.00—Lionel Messi
29.00—Thiago Almada
29.00—1st Card
29.003%Julian Alvarez
34.00—Emiliano Martinez
41.00—Juan Musso
67.00—Geronimo Rulli
81.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Argentina 1 / Cape Verde Islands 1
State
FULL-TIME
68'Yellow cardCape Verde Islands
Kevin Lenini
Foul
115'Yellow cardArgentina
Gonzalo Montiel
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
ArgentinaCape Verde Islands
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q44%Team cards Over 1.5Q40%
Q22%Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q61%Match cards Over 3.5Q50%
Q72%Both teams cardedQ60%
Overall
Argentina
44%
Over 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
61%
Match O3.5
Cape Verde Islands
40%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.