R32 · Match 86FIFA World Cup 2026
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
FT3 – 2
Cape Verde Islands
Manager: Pedro Leitão Brito
29' L. Messi92' L. Martínez111' D. Borges (OG)
59' D. Duarte103' S. Cabral
Miami Stadium · Friday, 3 July 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Argentina won after extra-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
1.9551%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.1488%2
5.5018%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.3
Argentina · for
qualifying, per game
9.7
Total corners · projected
5.4
Cape Verde Islands · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.97
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference2.04
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Argentina -0.5
Below Estimate2.18
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-14.3%
Below Est.
Cape Verde Islands +0.5
Above Estimate1.87
Estimate
2.01
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+10.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 3 Jul 09:30older price · 126d agoPinnacleas of 3 Jul 09:30older price · 126d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
1.9551%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.1488%2
5.5018%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
ArgentinaCape Verde Islands
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q72%Team corners O3.5Q80%
Q22%Team corners O4.5Q70%
Q28%Match corners O8.5Q70%
Q22%Match corners O9.5Q30%
Q6%Match corners O10.5Q30%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+1.9 · ARGENTINA
Argentina
+1.9
net per game
Cape Verde Islands
+1.4
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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