R32 · Match 86FIFA World Cup 2026
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
FT3 – 2
Cape Verde Islands
Manager: Pedro Leitão Brito
29' L. Messi92' L. Martínez111' D. Borges (OG)
59' D. Duarte103' S. Cabral
Miami Stadium · Friday, 3 July 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Argentina won after extra-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.46vs book · Bet3653.00STATS DIFF -13.3%
Argentina
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Cape Verde Islands
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.14
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.50
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.65vs book · Marathonbet1.14STATS DIFF -31.0%
Argentina
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Cape Verde Islands
60% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.35
Pinnacle
2.30
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d agoPinnacleas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.53vs book · Pinnacle1.62STATS DIFF -36.1%
Argentina
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Cape Verde Islands
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.60
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d agoPinnacleas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds6.43vs book · Pinnacle2.60STATS DIFF -59.6%
Argentina
11% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Cape Verde Islands
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 34, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Argentina
10 games · 0 goalless
33'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Cape Verde Islands
10 games · 2 goalless
36'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Argentina to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.04
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
11.25
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d ago
Market
Cape Verde Islands to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
2.83
Pinnacle
2.91
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 3 Jul 22:15older price · 126d agoPinnacleas of 3 Jul 09:30older price · 126d ago
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