R32 · Match 82FIFA World Cup 2026
Belgium
Manager: Rudi Garcia
FT3 – 2
Senegal
Manager: Pape Thiaw
86' R. Lukaku89' Y. Tielemans120+5' Y. Tielemans (P)
24' H. Diarra51' I. Sarr
Seattle Stadium · Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Belgium won after extra-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
Referee not yet appointed
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
1.54
Estimate
1.59
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+7.3%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.88
Estimate
2.35
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-20.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.34
Estimate
2.37
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-2.7%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.76
Estimate
1.57
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-5.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
4.10
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
-15.2%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate
1.33
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
-1.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.64
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
-3.8%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
-6.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Belgium +0
No Difference
1.83
Estimate
2.53
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Senegal +0
No Difference
2.22
Estimate
1.51
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
4.0025%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
12.008%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Belgium 2 / Senegal 1
State
FULL-TIME
64'Yellow card
Brandon Mechele
Foul
Belgium
67'Yellow card
Lamine Camara
Foul
Senegal
90'Yellow card
Rudi Garcia
Argument
Belgium
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
BelgiumSenegal
1.1
Team cards / g
1.0
4.0
Match cards / g
2.7
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q25%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q30%
Q25%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q0%
Q50%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q30%
Q63%
Both teams carded
Q60%
Overall
Belgium
25%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Senegal
30%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
30%
Match O3.5
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