R32 · Match 82FIFA World Cup 2026
Belgium
Manager: Rudi Garcia
FT3 – 2
Senegal
Manager: Pape Thiaw
86' R. Lukaku89' Y. Tielemans120+5' Y. Tielemans (P)
24' H. Diarra51' I. Sarr
Seattle Stadium · Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Belgium won after extra-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
2.1048%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.6660%2
2.1048%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
OVER 14 RANGE
Most likely band is Over 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
10.4
Belgium · for
qualifying, per game
15.2
Total corners · projected
4.8
Senegal · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.07
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference16.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Belgium -0.5
Above Estimate1.30
Estimate
1.92
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+41.7%
Above Est.
Senegal +0.5
Below Estimate4.40
Estimate
2.26
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-53.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 09:30older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 09:30older price · 129d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
2.1048%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.6660%2
2.1048%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
BelgiumSenegal
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q100%Team corners O3.5Q70%
Q100%Team corners O4.5Q60%
Q100%Match corners O8.5Q30%
Q100%Match corners O9.5Q20%
Q88%Match corners O10.5Q20%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+7.9 · BELGIUM
Belgium
+7.9
net per game
Senegal
+2.2
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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