R32 · Match 82FIFA World Cup 2026
Belgium
Manager: Rudi Garcia
FT3 – 2
Senegal
Manager: Pape Thiaw
86' R. Lukaku89' Y. Tielemans120+5' Y. Tielemans (P)
24' H. Diarra51' I. Sarr
Seattle Stadium · Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Belgium won after extra-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.86vs book · Bet3651.66STATS DIFF -41.9%
Belgium
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Senegal
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
4.12
Pinnacle
3.68
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.27vs book · Marathonbet1.25STATS DIFF -1.6%
Belgium
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Senegal
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.87
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.04
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.95vs book · Pinnacle1.87STATS DIFF -4.2%
Belgium
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Senegal
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.03
Pinnacle
2.96
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.95vs book · Pinnacle3.03STATS DIFF +55.3%
Belgium
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Senegal
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 26, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Belgium
10 games · 2 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Senegal
10 games · 1 goalless
32'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Belgium to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
4.31
Pinnacle
4.55
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 09:30older price · 129d ago
Market
Senegal to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.91
Pinnacle
2.95
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 1 Jul 19:45older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 09:30older price · 129d ago
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