R32 · Match 76FIFA World Cup 2026
Brazil
Manager: Carlo Ancelotti
FT2 – 1
Japan
Manager: Hajime Moriyasu
56' Casemiro90+5' G. Martinelli
29' K. Sano
Houston Stadium · Monday, 29 June 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Brazil won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
M. Mariani
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
1.73
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-1.2%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.40
Estimate
2.17
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-9.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 17:00older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 17:00older price · 130d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.82
Estimate
2.62
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-19.7%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.56
Estimate
1.48
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+6.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 17:00older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 17:00older price · 130d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
5.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.20
Unibet
-38.5%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.24
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.29
Unibet
+7.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 29 Jun 17:00older price · 130d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.74
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-7.1%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.38
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
-2.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 17:00older price · 130d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Brazil +0
No Difference
1.14
Estimate
2.03
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Japan +0
No Difference
8.60
Estimate
1.80
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 29 Jun 17:00older price · 130d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
4.3323%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
12.008%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Brazil 2 / Japan 3
State
FULL-TIME
12'Yellow card
Kaishu Sano
Foul
Japan
14'Yellow card
Casemiro
Foul
Brazil
45'Yellow card
Daichi Kamada
Foul
Japan
48'Yellow card
Danilo
Foul
Brazil
84'Yellow card
Junnosuke Suzuki
Foul
Japan
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
BrazilJapan
2.4
Team cards / g
0.7
4.3
Match cards / g
1.8
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q72%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q6%
Q28%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q0%
Q61%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q19%
Q78%
Both teams carded
Q38%
Overall
Brazil
72%
Over 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
61%
Match O3.5
Japan
6%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
19%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
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Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices