R32 · Match 76FIFA World Cup 2026
Brazil
Manager: Carlo Ancelotti
FT2 – 1
Japan
Manager: Hajime Moriyasu
56' Casemiro90+5' G. Martinelli
29' K. Sano
Houston Stadium · Monday, 29 June 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Brazil won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
1.9052%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.4469%2
2.6238%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
12 TO 14 RANGE
Most likely band is 12 to 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
5.1
Brazil · for
qualifying, per game
12.3
Total corners · projected
7.2
Japan · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.28
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference4.70
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Brazil -0.5
Below Estimate4.70
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-58.7%
Below Est.
Japan +0.5
Above Estimate1.28
Estimate
1.94
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+57.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 09:30older price · 131d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 09:30older price · 131d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
1.9052%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.4469%2
2.6238%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
BrazilJapan
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q83%Team corners O3.5Q88%
Q44%Team corners O4.5Q81%
Q39%Match corners O8.5Q56%
Q33%Match corners O9.5Q31%
Q22%Match corners O10.5Q19%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.5 · JAPAN
Brazil
+1.9
net per game
Japan
+5.5
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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