Group · Match 48FIFA World Cup 2026
Colombia
Manager: Néstor Gabriel Lorenzo
FT1 – 0
Congo DR
Manager: Sébastien Desabre
76' D. Muñoz
Guadalajara Stadium · Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Colombia won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
M. Mariani
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.1% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference
1.66
Estimate
1.71
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+3.1%
Below Bar
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.54
Estimate
2.12
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-14.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 23 Jun 23:45older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 23:45older price · 136d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.64
Estimate
2.62
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
-12.1%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference
1.62
Estimate
1.48
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 23 Jun 23:45older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 23:45older price · 136d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
4.90
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.05
Unibet
-36.5%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.26
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
+5.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 23 Jun 23:45older price · 136d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.57
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+5.2%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.78
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-18.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 23 Jun 23:45older price · 136d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Colombia +0
No Difference
1.28
Estimate
2.61
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Congo DR +0
No Difference
4.70
Estimate
1.49
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 23 Jun 23:45older price · 136d ago
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Colombia 2 / Congo DR 1
State
FULL-TIME
56'Yellow card
Jhon Lucumí
Foul
Colombia
90+3'Yellow card
Charles Pickel
Argument
Congo DR
90+4'Yellow card
Jefferson Lerma
Foul
Colombia
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
ColombiaCongo DR
2.1
Team cards / g
1.0
4.0
Match cards / g
2.3
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q61%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q25%
Q33%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q0%
Q56%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q17%
Q78%
Both teams carded
Q50%
Overall
Colombia
61%
Over 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
56%
Match O3.5
Congo DR
25%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5