Group · Match 48FIFA World Cup 2026
Colombia
Manager: Néstor Gabriel Lorenzo
FT1 – 0
Congo DR
Manager: Sébastien Desabre
76' D. Muñoz
Guadalajara Stadium · Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Colombia won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.2045%Tie 33
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3077%Neither
21.005%22
34.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.1
Colombia · for
qualifying, per game
9.6
Total corners · projected
5.6
Congo DR · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 8.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 8.5
Above Estimate1.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+15.4%
Above Est.
Under 8.5
Below Estimate2.68
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-23.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:31older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Colombia -0.5
Below Estimate3.45
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
-44.8%
Below Est.
Congo DR +0.5
Above Estimate1.42
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+41.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 23 Jun 09:31older price · 137d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 09:31older price · 137d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.2045%Tie 33
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3077%Neither
21.005%22
34.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
ColombiaCongo DR
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q44%Team corners O3.5Q58%
Q39%Team corners O4.5Q58%
Q39%Match corners O8.5Q50%
Q22%Match corners O9.5Q33%
Q11%Match corners O10.5Q25%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+2.3 · CONGO DR
Colombia
+0.1
net per game
Congo DR
+2.3
net per game
Group KView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4-1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6-1 | +5 | 5 | |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4-3 | +1 | 4 | |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-11 | -9 | 0 |
Other Group K matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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