Group · Match 56FIFA World Cup 2026
Ecuador
Manager: Sebastián Beccacece
FT2 – 1
Germany
Manager: Julian Nagelsmann
9' N. Angulo77' G. Plata
2' L. Sané
New York New Jersey Stadium · Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Ecuador won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
T. Penso
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.41
Estimate
1.93
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+31.4%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate3.50
Estimate
1.88
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-44.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 19:45older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 19:45older price · 134d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate1.99
Estimate
2.87
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+8.8%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate2.02
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-15.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 19:45older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 19:45older price · 134d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
No Difference3.25
Estimate
3.16
Pinnacle
3.15
Unibet
-0.0%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate1.46
Estimate
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
-8.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 25 Jun 19:45older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 19:45older price · 134d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.39
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+23.0%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate3.65
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-40.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 19:45older price · 134d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Ecuador +0
No Difference1.69
Estimate
1.60
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Germany +0
No Difference2.46
Estimate
2.33
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 25 Jun 19:45older price · 134d ago
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Ecuador 3 / Germany 1
State
FULL-TIME
43'Yellow cardEcuador
Piero Hincapié
Foul
44'Yellow cardGermany
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Foul
50'Yellow cardEcuador
Alan Franco
Time wasting
89'Yellow cardEcuador
Gonzalo Plata
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
EcuadorGermany
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q44%Team cards Over 1.5Q50%
Q22%Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q50%Match cards Over 3.5Q50%
Q78%Both teams cardedQ67%
Overall
Ecuador
44%
Over 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
6%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Germany
50%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Group EView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10-4 | +6 | 6 | — |
| 2 | Côte d'Ivoire | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4-2 | +2 | 6 | — |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | — |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-9 | -8 | 1 | — |
Other Group E matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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