Group · Match 56FIFA World Cup 2026
Ecuador
Manager: Sebastián Beccacece
FT2 – 1
Germany
Manager: Julian Nagelsmann
9' N. Angulo77' G. Plata
2' L. Sané
New York New Jersey Stadium · Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Ecuador won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.8056%2
2.3742%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.7258%1
2.0050%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
3.9
Ecuador · for
qualifying, per game
9.7
Total corners · projected
5.8
Germany · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.98
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference2.04
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Ecuador -0.5
Below Estimate3.45
Estimate
1.47
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
-44.8%
Below Est.
Germany +0.5
Above Estimate1.42
Estimate
1.77
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+41.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 09:30older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 09:30older price · 135d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.8056%2
2.3742%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.7258%1
2.0050%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
EcuadorGermany
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q44%Team corners O3.5Q83%
Q33%Team corners O4.5Q67%
Q33%Match corners O8.5Q50%
Q22%Match corners O9.5Q33%
Q17%Match corners O10.5Q33%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+2.3 · GERMANY
Ecuador
+0.2
net per game
Germany
+2.3
net per game
Group EView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10-4 | +6 | 6 | — |
| 2 | Côte d'Ivoire | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4-2 | +2 | 6 | — |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | — |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-9 | -8 | 1 | — |
Other Group E matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.