SF · Match 102FIFA World Cup 2026
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
FT1 – 2
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
55' A. Gordon
85' E. Fernández90+2' L. Martínez
Atlanta Stadium · Wednesday, 15 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Argentina won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
I. Elfath
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate1.53
Estimate
1.50
Pinnacle
1.32
Unibet
-11.4%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate2.92
Estimate
2.53
Pinnacle
3.00
Unibet
+6.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate2.30
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-18.3%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.78
Estimate
2.16
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+5.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate4.00
Estimate
2.49
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-43.6%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate1.34
Estimate
1.53
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+23.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.49
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
-15.9%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate3.10
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.00
Bet365
+34.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
England +0
No Difference3.80
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Argentina +0
No Difference1.37
Estimate
2.07
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Leandro Paredes
3.20—Nicolas Otamendi
3.40—Rodrigo De Paul
3.40—Cristian Romero
3.40—Marcos Senesi
3.40—Dan Burn
3.60—Elliot Anderson
3.60—Reece James
3.60—Djed Spence
3.60—Jude Bellingham
3.60—John Stones
4.00—Ivan Toney
4.00—Declan Rice
4.00—Ezri Konsa
4.00—Facundo Medina
4.00—Trevoh Chalobah
4.00—Lisandro Martinez
4.00—Anthony Gordon
4.00—Nicolas Gonzalez
4.00—Booked
4.3323%Nicolas Tagliafico
4.50—Gonzalo Montiel
4.50—Exequiel Palacios
4.50—Nahuel Molina
4.50—Marc Guehi
4.50—Morgan Rogers
4.50—Enzo Fernandez
4.50—Kobbie Mainoo
4.50—Nico O'Reilly
4.50—Valentin Barco
4.50—Jose Flaco Lopez
4.50—Giovani Lo Celso
5.00—Alexis Mac Allister
5.00—Giuliano Simeone
5.00—Lautaro Martinez
5.50—Bukayo Saka
5.50—Nicolas Paz
5.50—Thiago Almada
6.00—Jordan Pickford
6.50—Ollie Watkins
6.50—Dean Henderson
6.50—James Trafford
6.50—Lionel Messi
7.50—Julian Alvarez
7.50—Harry Kane
8.50—Marcus Rashford
8.50—Eberechi Eze
8.50—Noni Madueke
8.50—Emiliano Martinez
9.50—Juan Musso
13.00—Geronimo Rulli
19.00—Source: bet365 · 51 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Leandro Paredes
10.00—Nicolas Otamendi
11.00—Rodrigo De Paul
11.00—Cristian Romero
11.00—Marcos Senesi
11.00—Dan Burn
12.00—Elliot Anderson
12.00—Reece James
12.00—Djed Spence
12.00—Jude Bellingham
12.00—John Stones
13.00—Ivan Toney
13.00—Declan Rice
13.00—Ezri Konsa
13.00—Facundo Medina
13.00—Trevoh Chalobah
13.00—Lisandro Martinez
13.00—Anthony Gordon
13.00—Nicolas Gonzalez
13.00—Nicolas Tagliafico
15.00—Gonzalo Montiel
15.00—Exequiel Palacios
15.00—Nahuel Molina
15.00—Marc Guehi
15.00—Morgan Rogers
15.00—Enzo Fernandez
15.00—Kobbie Mainoo
15.00—Nico O'Reilly
15.00—Valentin Barco
15.00—Jose Flaco Lopez
15.00—Giovani Lo Celso
17.00—Alexis Mac Allister
17.00—Giuliano Simeone
17.00—1st Card
17.006%Lautaro Martinez
19.00—Bukayo Saka
19.00—Nicolas Paz
19.00—Thiago Almada
21.00—Jordan Pickford
23.00—Ollie Watkins
23.00—Dean Henderson
23.00—James Trafford
23.00—Lionel Messi
26.00—Julian Alvarez
26.00—Harry Kane
29.00—Marcus Rashford
29.00—Eberechi Eze
29.00—Noni Madueke
29.00—Emiliano Martinez
34.00—Juan Musso
51.00—Geronimo Rulli
67.00—Source: bet365 · 51 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · England 1 / Argentina 3
State
FULL-TIME
37'Yellow cardEngland
Elliot Anderson
Foul
42'Yellow cardArgentina
Lisandro Martínez
Foul
51'Yellow cardArgentina
Cristian Romero
Foul
90+4'Yellow cardArgentina
Rodrigo De Paul
Argument
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
EnglandArgentina
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q13%Team cards Over 1.5Q44%
Q0%Team cards Over 2.5Q22%
Q13%Match cards Over 3.5Q61%
Q63%Both teams cardedQ72%
Overall
England
13%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5
Argentina
44%
Over 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
61%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.