SF · Match 102FIFA World Cup 2026
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
FT1 – 2
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
55' A. Gordon
85' E. Fernández90+2' L. Martínez
Atlanta Stadium · Wednesday, 15 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Argentina won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds7.19vs book · Bet3651.90STATS DIFF -73.6%
England
0% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Argentina
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.45
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.84
Pinnacle
2.77
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.35vs book · Pinnacle1.45STATS DIFF +7.7%
England
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Argentina
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.52
Pinnacle
2.30
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.55
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.62vs book · Pinnacle2.52STATS DIFF -3.7%
England
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Argentina
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.28
Pinnacle
4.10
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.33
Pinnacle
1.18
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds5.54vs book · Marathonbet4.10STATS DIFF -26.0%
England
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Argentina
11% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 31, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
England
10 games · 1 goalless
34'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Argentina
10 games · 0 goalless
29'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
England to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
3.01
Pinnacle
3.02
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jul 09:30older price · 114d ago
Market
Argentina to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.43
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.87
Pinnacle
2.76
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jul 19:45older price · 114d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jul 09:30older price · 114d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.