SF · Match 102FIFA World Cup 2026
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
FT1 – 2
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
55' A. Gordon
85' E. Fernández90+2' L. Martínez
Atlanta Stadium · Wednesday, 15 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Argentina won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
2.2544%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.7258%2
2.1048%Neither
15.007%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
7.5
England · for
qualifying, per game
11.8
Total corners · projected
4.3
Argentina · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.35
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference3.90
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
England -0.5
Above Estimate1.50
Estimate
1.76
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+26.7%
Above Est.
Argentina +0.5
Below Estimate3.05
Estimate
2.25
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-33.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jul 09:30older price · 114d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jul 09:30older price · 114d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
2.2544%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.7258%2
2.1048%Neither
15.007%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
EnglandArgentina
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q100%Team corners O3.5Q72%
Q88%Team corners O4.5Q22%
Q63%Match corners O8.5Q28%
Q63%Match corners O9.5Q22%
Q50%Match corners O10.5Q6%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.4 · ENGLAND
England
+5.4
net per game
Argentina
+1.9
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.