R32 · Match 80FIFA World Cup 2026

England

Manager: Thomas Tuchel

FT2 – 1

Congo DR

Manager: Sébastien Desabre

75' H. Kane86' H. Kane

7' B. Cipenga

Atlanta Stadium · Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 17:00 · FT · England won after full-time.

Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin

A. Makhadmeh

No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 2.5

Below Estimate

2.56

Estimate

2.18

Pinnacle

1.90

Bet365

-24.0%

Below Est.

Under 2.5

Above Estimate

1.65

Estimate

1.70

Pinnacle

1.80

Bet365

+12.5%

Above Est.

ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.

bet365as of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 3.5

Below Estimate

5.30

Estimate

2.53

Pinnacle

2.25

Bet365

-55.9%

Below Est.

Under 3.5

Above Estimate

1.24

Estimate

1.50

Pinnacle

1.57

Bet365

+29.8%

Above Est.

bet365as of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 4.5

Below Estimate

13.00

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

2.55

Unibet

-79.6%

Below Est.

Under 4.5

Above Estimate

1.09

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.43

Unibet

+34.9%

Above Est.

Unibetas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago

Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Yes

Above Estimate

1.78

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.83

Bet365

+5.8%

Above Est.

Below Estimate

2.30

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.83

Bet365

-18.3%

Below Est.

bet365as of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago

Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game

Market State

NO SIGNAL

No active signal or price difference in this market

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

England +0

No Difference

2.26

Estimate

3.12

Pinnacle

—

Soft

—

No Diff

Congo DR +0

No Difference

1.80

Estimate

1.36

Pinnacle

—

Soft

—

No Diff

Pinnacleas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago

OutcomePriceImplied

Aaron Tshibola

3.00—

Booked

3.4029%

Cedric Bakambu

3.75—

Joris Kayembe

3.75—

Dylan Batubinsika

3.75—

Gedeon Kalulu

3.75—

Edo Kayembe

3.75—

Steve Kapuadi

3.75—

Gael Kakuta

4.33—

Aaron Wan-Bissaka

4.33—

Samuel Moutoussamy

4.33—

Noah Sadiki

4.33—

Arthur Masuaku

4.75—

Axel Tuanzebe

4.75—

Yoane Wissa

4.75—

Simon Banza

4.75—

Charles Pickel

4.75—

Fiston Mayele

4.75—

Chancel Mbemba

5.50—

Dan Burn

5.50—

Elliot Anderson

5.50—

Reece James

5.50—

Djed Spence

5.50—

Nathanael Mbuku

5.50—

Jude Bellingham

5.50—

Ngal'ayel Mukau

5.50—

Theo Bongonda

6.00—

Meschack Elia

6.00—

Brian Cipenga

6.00—

John Stones

6.50—

Ivan Toney

6.50—

Declan Rice

6.50—

Ezri Konsa

6.50—

Trevoh Chalobah

6.50—

Anthony Gordon

6.50—

Timothy Fayulu

7.00—

Matthieu Epolo

7.00—

Lionel M'Pasi-Nzau

7.00—

Jordan Henderson

7.50—

Marc Guehi

7.50—

Morgan Rogers

7.50—

Jarell Quansah

7.50—

Kobbie Mainoo

7.50—

Nico O'Reilly

7.50—

Bukayo Saka

9.00—

Jordan Pickford

11.00—

Ollie Watkins

11.00—

Dean Henderson

11.00—

James Trafford

11.00—

Harry Kane

15.00—

Marcus Rashford

15.00—

Eberechi Eze

15.00—

Noni Madueke

15.00—

Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only

OutcomePriceImplied

Aaron Tshibola

7.50—

1st Card

8.0013%

Cedric Bakambu

11.00—

Joris Kayembe

11.00—

Dylan Batubinsika

11.00—

Gedeon Kalulu

11.00—

Edo Kayembe

11.00—

Steve Kapuadi

11.00—

Gael Kakuta

12.00—

Aaron Wan-Bissaka

12.00—

Samuel Moutoussamy

12.00—

Noah Sadiki

12.00—

Arthur Masuaku

13.00—

Axel Tuanzebe

13.00—

Yoane Wissa

13.00—

Simon Banza

13.00—

Charles Pickel

13.00—

Fiston Mayele

13.00—

Chancel Mbemba

15.00—

Nathanael Mbuku

15.00—

Ngal'ayel Mukau

15.00—

Dan Burn

17.00—

Theo Bongonda

17.00—

Elliot Anderson

17.00—

Meschack Elia

17.00—

Reece James

17.00—

Djed Spence

17.00—

Jude Bellingham

17.00—

Brian Cipenga

17.00—

John Stones

19.00—

Ivan Toney

19.00—

Declan Rice

19.00—

Ezri Konsa

19.00—

Trevoh Chalobah

19.00—

Anthony Gordon

19.00—

Jordan Henderson

21.00—

Marc Guehi

21.00—

Morgan Rogers

21.00—

Timothy Fayulu

21.00—

Jarell Quansah

21.00—

Kobbie Mainoo

21.00—

Nico O'Reilly

21.00—

Matthieu Epolo

21.00—

Lionel M'Pasi-Nzau

21.00—

Bukayo Saka

26.00—

Jordan Pickford

29.00—

Ollie Watkins

29.00—

Dean Henderson

29.00—

James Trafford

29.00—

Harry Kane

41.00—

Marcus Rashford

41.00—

Eberechi Eze

41.00—

Noni Madueke

41.00—

Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only

19'

Jude Bellingham

Foul

England

28'

Noah Sadiki

Foul

Congo DR

EnglandCongo DR

0.9

Team cards / g

1.0

2.3

Match cards / g

2.3

Hit rates · qualifying campaign

Q13%

Team cards Over 1.5

Q25%

Q0%

Team cards Over 2.5

Q0%

Q13%

Match cards Over 3.5

Q17%

Q63%

Both teams carded

Q50%

Overall

England

13%

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

13%

Match O3.5

Congo DR

25%

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

17%

Match O3.5

Upcoming matchesNext 6

No upcoming fixtures.

All GroupsA–L

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices

Referee profile

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Player to be Booked

1st Player Booked

Cards in this match

Team card averages