R32 · Match 80FIFA World Cup 2026
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
FT2 – 1
Congo DR
Manager: Sébastien Desabre
75' H. Kane86' H. Kane
7' B. Cipenga
Atlanta Stadium · Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 17:00 · FT · England won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9551%1
2.0549%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.1289%2
6.0017%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
OVER 14 RANGE
Most likely band is Over 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
7.5
England · for
qualifying, per game
13.1
Total corners · projected
5.6
Congo DR · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference6.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
England -0.5
Above Estimate1.58
Estimate
1.53
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+27.5%
Above Est.
Congo DR +0.5
Below Estimate2.76
Estimate
2.34
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
-31.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 09:30older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 09:30older price · 129d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9551%1
2.0549%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.1289%2
6.0017%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
EnglandCongo DR
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q100%Team corners O3.5Q58%
Q88%Team corners O4.5Q58%
Q63%Match corners O8.5Q50%
Q63%Match corners O9.5Q33%
Q50%Match corners O10.5Q25%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.4 · ENGLAND
England
+5.4
net per game
Congo DR
+2.3
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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