R32 · Match 80FIFA World Cup 2026
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
FT2 – 1
Congo DR
Manager: Sébastien Desabre
75' H. Kane86' H. Kane
7' B. Cipenga
Atlanta Stadium · Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 17:00 · FT · England won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds6.01vs book · Bet3652.75STATS DIFF -54.2%
England
0% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Congo DR
33% overall · qualifying campaign
12 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.35
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.29
Pinnacle
3.20
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.45vs book · Pinnacle1.35STATS DIFF -7.2%
England
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Congo DR
50% overall · qualifying campaign
12 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.08
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.81
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.69vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF -43.1%
England
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Congo DR
17% overall · qualifying campaign
12 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.59
Pinnacle
3.52
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.80vs book · Pinnacle3.59STATS DIFF -25.1%
England
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Congo DR
17% overall · qualifying campaign
12 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 34, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
England
10 games · 1 goalless
39'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Congo DR
10 games · 0 goalless
31'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
England to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.10
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
7.00
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d ago
Market
Congo DR to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
2.50
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
1.54
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 1 Jul 16:00older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 09:30older price · 129d ago
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