Group · Match 22FIFA World Cup 2026

England

Manager: Thomas Tuchel

FT4 – 2

Croatia

Manager: Zlatko Dalić

12' H. Kane (P)42' H. Kane47' J. Bellingham85' M. Rashford

36' M. Baturina45+5' P. Musa

Dallas Stadium · Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · 21:00 · FT · England won after full-time.

Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin

C. Turpin

No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 2.5

Below Estimate

2.46

Estimate

1.83

Pinnacle

1.72

Bet365

-28.3%

Below Est.

Under 2.5

Above Estimate

1.69

Estimate

1.99

Pinnacle

2.00

Bet365

+21.2%

Above Est.

ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.

bet365as of 17 Jun 20:16older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 20:16older price · 142d ago

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 3.5

Below Estimate

5.00

Estimate

2.84

Pinnacle

2.80

Unibet

-41.7%

Below Est.

Under 3.5

Above Estimate

1.26

Estimate

1.38

Pinnacle

1.37

Unibet

+12.3%

Above Est.

Unibetas of 17 Jun 20:16older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 20:16older price · 142d ago

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 4.5

Below Estimate

12.00

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

3.15

Unibet

-72.6%

Below Est.

Under 4.5

Above Estimate

1.10

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.30

Unibet

+21.5%

Above Est.

Unibetas of 17 Jun 20:16older price · 142d ago

Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game

Market State

NO SIGNAL

Best price is +2.6% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Yes

Below Estimate

2.00

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.72

Bet365

-11.8%

Below Est.

No Difference

2.00

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

2.00

Bet365

+2.6%

Below Bar

bet365as of 17 Jun 20:16older price · 142d ago

Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game

Market State

NO SIGNAL

No active signal or price difference in this market

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

England +0

No Difference

2.00

Estimate

3.66

Pinnacle

—

Soft

—

No Diff

Croatia +0

No Difference

2.00

Estimate

1.28

Pinnacle

—

Soft

—

No Diff

Pinnacleas of 17 Jun 20:16older price · 142d ago

OutcomePriceImplied

Marin Pongracic

2.75—

Duje Caleta-Car

3.40—

Mateo Kovacic

3.40—

Kristijan Jakic

3.40—

Nikola Moro

3.40—

Josip Stanisic

3.40—

Ivan Perisic

3.75—

Petar Musa

3.75—

Josko Gvardiol

3.75—

Toni Fruk

3.75—

Luka Vuskovic

3.75—

Petar Sucic

3.75—

Ante Budimir

4.33—

Mario Pasalic

4.33—

Nikola Vlasic

4.33—

Martin Erlic

4.33—

Josip Sutalo

4.33—

Marco Pasalic

4.33—

Igor Matanovic

4.33—

Luka Modric

5.00—

Luka Sucic

5.00—

Martin Baturina

5.00—

Andrej Kramaric

6.00—

Dan Burn

6.00—

Elliot Anderson

6.00—

Reece James

6.00—

Djed Spence

6.00—

Jude Bellingham

6.00—

Booked

6.0017%

John Stones

7.00—

Ivan Toney

7.00—

Declan Rice

7.00—

Ezri Konsa

7.00—

Anthony Gordon

7.00—

Kobbie Mainoo

7.00—

Jordan Henderson

8.00—

Dominik Livakovic

8.00—

Dominik Kotarski

8.00—

Marc Guehi

8.00—

Morgan Rogers

8.00—

Ivor Pandur

8.00—

Valentino Livramento

8.00—

Jarell Quansah

8.00—

Nico O'Reilly

8.00—

Bukayo Saka

10.00—

Jordan Pickford

12.00—

Ollie Watkins

12.00—

Dean Henderson

12.00—

James Trafford

12.00—

Harry Kane

15.00—

Marcus Rashford

15.00—

Eberechi Eze

15.00—

Noni Madueke

15.00—

Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only

OutcomePriceImplied

Marin Pongracic

7.50—

Duje Caleta-Car

9.50—

Mateo Kovacic

9.50—

Kristijan Jakic

9.50—

Nikola Moro

9.50—

Josip Stanisic

9.50—

Ivan Perisic

11.00—

Petar Musa

11.00—

Josko Gvardiol

11.00—

Toni Fruk

11.00—

Luka Vuskovic

11.00—

Petar Sucic

11.00—

Ante Budimir

13.00—

Mario Pasalic

13.00—

Nikola Vlasic

13.00—

Martin Erlic

13.00—

Josip Sutalo

13.00—

Marco Pasalic

13.00—

Igor Matanovic

13.00—

Luka Modric

15.00—

Luka Sucic

15.00—

Martin Baturina

15.00—

Andrej Kramaric

19.00—

Dan Burn

19.00—

Elliot Anderson

19.00—

Reece James

19.00—

Djed Spence

19.00—

Jude Bellingham

19.00—

1st Card

19.005%

John Stones

21.00—

Ivan Toney

21.00—

Declan Rice

21.00—

Ezri Konsa

21.00—

Anthony Gordon

21.00—

Kobbie Mainoo

21.00—

Jordan Henderson

23.00—

Dominik Livakovic

23.00—

Dominik Kotarski

23.00—

Marc Guehi

23.00—

Morgan Rogers

23.00—

Ivor Pandur

23.00—

Valentino Livramento

23.00—

Jarell Quansah

23.00—

Nico O'Reilly

23.00—

Bukayo Saka

29.00—

Jordan Pickford

34.00—

Ollie Watkins

34.00—

Dean Henderson

34.00—

James Trafford

34.00—

Harry Kane

51.00—

Marcus Rashford

51.00—

Eberechi Eze

51.00—

Noni Madueke

51.00—

Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only

EnglandCroatia

0.9

Team cards / g

0.9

2.3

Match cards / g

2.4

Hit rates · qualifying campaign

Q13%

Team cards Over 1.5

Q13%

Q0%

Team cards Over 2.5

Q0%

Q13%

Match cards Over 3.5

Q25%

Q63%

Both teams carded

Q38%

Overall

England

13%

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

13%

Match O3.5

Croatia

13%

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

25%

Match O3.5

Group LView group

	Team	PL	W	D	L	+/−	GD	PTS
1	England	3	2	1	0	6-2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5-5	0	6
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2-2	0	4
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0-4	-4	0

Other Group L matches5

Upcoming matchesNext 6

No upcoming fixtures.

All GroupsA–L

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices

Referee profile

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Player to be Booked

1st Player Booked

Team card averages