Group · Match 22FIFA World Cup 2026
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
FT4 – 2
Croatia
Manager: Zlatko Dalić
12' H. Kane (P)42' H. Kane47' J. Bellingham85' M. Rashford
36' M. Baturina45+5' P. Musa
Dallas Stadium · Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · 21:00 · FT · England won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.1048%Tie 22
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.4469%22
21.005%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
OVER 14 RANGE
Most likely band is Over 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
7.5
England · for
qualifying, per game
16.3
Total corners · projected
8.8
Croatia · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9
Above Estimate1.02
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+90.0%
Above Est.
Under 9
Below Estimate51.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-96.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:29older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
England -0.5
Below Estimate2.38
Estimate
1.84
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-21.7%
Below Est.
Croatia +0.5
Above Estimate1.74
Estimate
1.95
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+18.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 17 Jun 09:30older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 09:30older price · 143d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.1048%Tie 22
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.4469%22
21.005%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
EnglandCroatia
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q100%Team corners O3.5Q63%
Q88%Team corners O4.5Q63%
Q63%Match corners O8.5Q63%
Q63%Match corners O9.5Q63%
Q50%Match corners O10.5Q50%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.6 · CROATIA
England
+5.4
net per game
Croatia
+5.6
net per game
Group LView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6-2 | +4 | 7 | |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | -4 | 0 |
Other Group L matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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