3rd Place · Match 103FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT4 – 6
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
48' K. Mbappé54' B. Barcola66' K. Mbappé90+6' O. Dembélé
3' D. Rice18' E. Konsa37' B. Saka45+1' B. Saka87' B. Saka (P)90+8' J. Bellingham
Miami Stadium · Saturday, 18 July 2026 · 22:00 · FT · England won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
J. Valenzuela Sáez
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.9% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference2.26
Estimate
2.23
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+0.9%
Below Bar
Under 2.5
Below Estimate1.81
Estimate
1.67
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-8.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.4% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.10
Unibet
-26.2%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference1.31
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
+2.4%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
No Difference9.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 4.5
No Difference1.12
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.55
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+25.8%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate2.84
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-34.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
France +0
No Difference1.47
Estimate
1.99
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
England +0
No Difference3.15
Estimate
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Lucas Hernandez
4.00—Theo Hernandez
4.33—Kouadio Kone
4.33—Booked
4.5022%Adrien Rabiot
4.75—Aurelien Tchouameni
4.75—Dan Burn
5.00—Dayot Upamecano
5.00—Ibrahima Konate
5.00—Elliot Anderson
5.00—Reece James
5.00—Djed Spence
5.00—Jude Bellingham
5.00—Warren Zaire Emery
5.00—Ngolo Kante
5.00—Jordan Henderson
5.50—Malo Gusto
5.50—Maghnes Akliouche
5.50—John Stones
6.00—Ivan Toney
6.00—Declan Rice
6.00—Ezri Konsa
6.00—Trevoh Chalobah
6.00—Anthony Gordon
6.00—Lucas Digne
6.50—Marc Guehi
6.50—Morgan Rogers
6.50—Jarell Quansah
6.50—Kobbie Mainoo
6.50—Nico O'Reilly
6.50—Desire Doue
6.50—William Saliba
7.00—Rayan Cherki
7.00—Maxence Lacroix
7.50—Bradley Barcola
7.50—Bukayo Saka
8.00—Jules Kounde
8.50—Michael Olise
8.50—Ousmane Dembele
9.50—Kylian Mbappe
9.50—Jean-Philippe Mateta
9.50—Marcus Thuram
9.50—Jordan Pickford
10.00—Ollie Watkins
10.00—Dean Henderson
10.00—James Trafford
10.00—Brice Samba
12.00—Mike Maignan
12.00—Harry Kane
13.00—Marcus Rashford
13.00—Eberechi Eze
13.00—Noni Madueke
13.00—Robin Risser
19.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Lucas Hernandez
10.00—Theo Hernandez
11.00—Kouadio Kone
11.00—Adrien Rabiot
12.00—Aurelien Tchouameni
12.00—1st Card
12.008%Dan Burn
13.00—Dayot Upamecano
13.00—Ibrahima Konate
13.00—Elliot Anderson
13.00—Reece James
13.00—Djed Spence
13.00—Jude Bellingham
13.00—Warren Zaire Emery
13.00—Ngolo Kante
13.00—Jordan Henderson
15.00—John Stones
15.00—Ivan Toney
15.00—Declan Rice
15.00—Ezri Konsa
15.00—Trevoh Chalobah
15.00—Anthony Gordon
15.00—Malo Gusto
15.00—Maghnes Akliouche
15.00—Lucas Digne
17.00—Marc Guehi
17.00—Morgan Rogers
17.00—Jarell Quansah
17.00—Kobbie Mainoo
17.00—Nico O'Reilly
17.00—Desire Doue
17.00—Rayan Cherki
19.00—Jules Kounde
21.00—Maxence Lacroix
21.00—Bukayo Saka
21.00—William Saliba
21.00—Michael Olise
21.00—Bradley Barcola
21.00—Ousmane Dembele
23.00—Kylian Mbappe
23.00—Jean-Philippe Mateta
23.00—Marcus Thuram
23.00—Jordan Pickford
26.00—Ollie Watkins
26.00—Dean Henderson
26.00—James Trafford
26.00—Brice Samba
29.00—Mike Maignan
29.00—Harry Kane
34.00—Marcus Rashford
34.00—Eberechi Eze
34.00—Noni Madueke
34.00—Robin Risser
41.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
FranceEngland
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q17%Team cards Over 1.5Q13%
Q17%Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q17%Match cards Over 3.5Q13%
Q67%Both teams cardedQ63%
Overall
France
17%
Over 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
England
13%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.