3rd Place · Match 103FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT4 – 6
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
48' K. Mbappé54' B. Barcola66' K. Mbappé90+6' O. Dembélé
3' D. Rice18' E. Konsa37' B. Saka45+1' B. Saka87' B. Saka (P)90+8' J. Bellingham
Miami Stadium · Saturday, 18 July 2026 · 22:00 · FT · England won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.8355%1
1.9052%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.5365%2
2.3742%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
OVER 14 RANGE
Most likely band is Over 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.8
France · for
qualifying, per game
14.3
Total corners · projected
7.5
England · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.11
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference11.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
France -0.5
Below Estimate2.22
Estimate
1.93
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
-8.8%
Below Est.
England +0.5
No Difference1.83
Estimate
2.25
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
+2.8%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jul 09:32older price · 112d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jul 09:32older price · 112d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.8355%1
1.9052%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.5365%2
2.3742%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
FranceEngland
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q83%Team corners O3.5Q100%
Q67%Team corners O4.5Q88%
Q50%Match corners O8.5Q63%
Q17%Match corners O9.5Q63%
Q0%Match corners O10.5Q50%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.7 · FRANCE
France
+5.7
net per game
England
+5.4
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.