3rd Place · Match 103FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT4 – 6
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
48' K. Mbappé54' B. Barcola66' K. Mbappé90+6' O. Dembélé
3' D. Rice18' E. Konsa37' B. Saka45+1' B. Saka87' B. Saka (P)90+8' J. Bellingham
Miami Stadium · Saturday, 18 July 2026 · 22:00 · FT · England won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds4.00vs book · Bet3651.44STATS DIFF -64.0%
France
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
England
0% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.09
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.30
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.07vs book · Marathonbet1.09STATS DIFF +2.2%
France
100% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
England
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.70
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.66vs book · Bet3651.44STATS DIFF -13.0%
France
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
England
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.22
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.67vs book · Pinnacle2.22STATS DIFF -16.7%
France
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
England
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 38, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
France
10 games · 0 goalless
38'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
England
10 games · 1 goalless
37'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
France to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.07
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
6.80
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
Market
England to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.14
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jul 21:45older price · 111d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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