Group · Match 17FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT3 – 1
Senegal
Manager: Pape Thiaw
66' K. Mbappé82' B. Barcola90+6' K. Mbappé
90+5' I. Mbaye
New York New Jersey Stadium · Tuesday, 16 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · France won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
A. Faghani
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate1.99
Estimate
1.35
Pinnacle
1.29
Unibet
-33.5%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate2.02
Estimate
3.15
Pinnacle
3.20
Unibet
+63.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 16 Jun 19:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 19:15older price · 143d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate3.55
Estimate
1.86
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-47.0%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.40
Estimate
1.95
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+34.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 16 Jun 19:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 19:15older price · 143d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate7.60
Estimate
2.56
Pinnacle
2.40
Unibet
-67.6%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate1.16
Estimate
1.46
Pinnacle
1.49
Unibet
+31.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 16 Jun 19:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 19:15older price · 143d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.4% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.58
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
-9.1%
Below Est.
No
No Difference2.74
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
+3.4%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 16 Jun 19:15older price · 143d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
France +0
No Difference1.59
Estimate
2.94
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Senegal +0
No Difference2.72
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 16 Jun 19:15older price · 143d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Pape Gueye
3.25—Pathe Ciss
3.25—Kalidou Koulibaly
3.60—Pape Sarr
3.60—Bara Ndiaye
3.60—Abdoulaye Seck
3.75—Mamadou Sarr
3.75—Mamadou Lamine Camara
3.75—Booked
3.7527%Lucas Hernandez
4.00—Idrissa Gana Gueye
4.33—Moussa Niakhate
4.33—Antoine Mendy
4.33—El Hadji Diouf
4.33—Theo Hernandez
4.50—Kouadio Kone
4.50—Sadio Mane
4.75—Cherif Ndiaye
4.75—Adrien Rabiot
4.75—Krepin Diatta
4.75—Ismail Jakobs
4.75—Nicolas Jackson
4.75—Habib Diarra
4.75—Assane Diao
4.75—Ibrahim Mbaye
4.75—Ahmadou Dieng
4.75—Dayot Upamecano
5.00—Ibrahima Konate
5.00—Warren Zaire Emery
5.00—Ngolo Kante
5.00—Ismaila Sarr
6.00—Aurelien Tchouameni
6.00—Malo Gusto
6.00—Maghnes Akliouche
6.00—Iliman-Cheikh Ndiaye
6.00—William Saliba
6.50—Desire Doue
6.50—Edouard Mendy
7.00—Yehvann Diouf
7.00—Mory Diaw
7.00—Pape Sy
7.00—Rayan Cherki
7.50—Lucas Digne
8.00—Maxence Lacroix
8.00—Bradley Barcola
8.00—Jules Kounde
9.00—Michael Olise
9.00—Ousmane Dembele
10.00—Kylian Mbappe
10.00—Jean-Philippe Mateta
10.00—Marcus Thuram
10.00—Brice Samba
13.00—Mike Maignan
13.00—Robin Risser
19.00—Source: bet365 · 54 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Pape Gueye
9.00—Pathe Ciss
9.00—Kalidou Koulibaly
10.00—Bara Ndiaye
10.00—Pape Sarr
10.00—Abdoulaye Seck
11.00—Mamadou Sarr
11.00—Mamadou Lamine Camara
11.00—1st Card
11.009%Lucas Hernandez
12.00—Idrissa Gana Gueye
13.00—Moussa Niakhate
13.00—Theo Hernandez
13.00—Kouadio Kone
13.00—Antoine Mendy
13.00—El Hadji Diouf
13.00—Sadio Mane
15.00—Dayot Upamecano
15.00—Cherif Ndiaye
15.00—Adrien Rabiot
15.00—Ibrahima Konate
15.00—Krepin Diatta
15.00—Ismail Jakobs
15.00—Nicolas Jackson
15.00—Habib Diarra
15.00—Warren Zaire Emery
15.00—Assane Diao
15.00—Ibrahim Mbaye
15.00—Ngolo Kante
15.00—Ahmadou Dieng
15.00—Ismaila Sarr
17.00—Aurelien Tchouameni
17.00—Malo Gusto
17.00—Maghnes Akliouche
17.00—Iliman-Cheikh Ndiaye
17.00—Edouard Mendy
21.00—Yehvann Diouf
21.00—Mory Diaw
21.00—William Saliba
21.00—Rayan Cherki
21.00—Desire Doue
21.00—Pape Sy
21.00—Lucas Digne
23.00—Maxence Lacroix
23.00—Bradley Barcola
23.00—Jules Kounde
26.00—Michael Olise
26.00—Ousmane Dembele
29.00—Kylian Mbappe
29.00—Jean-Philippe Mateta
29.00—Marcus Thuram
29.00—Brice Samba
34.00—Mike Maignan
34.00—Robin Risser
51.00—Source: bet365 · 54 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
FranceSenegal
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q17%Team cards Over 1.5Q30%
Q17%Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q17%Match cards Over 3.5Q30%
Q67%Both teams cardedQ60%
Overall
France
17%
Over 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
Senegal
30%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
30%
Match O3.5
Group IView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10-2 | +8 | 9 | |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-7 | +1 | 6 | |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8-6 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-12 | -11 | 0 |
Other Group I matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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