Group · Match 17FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT3 – 1
Senegal
Manager: Pape Thiaw
66' K. Mbappé82' B. Barcola90+6' K. Mbappé
90+5' I. Mbaye
New York New Jersey Stadium · Tuesday, 16 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · France won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.1048%Tie 33
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3077%22
4.7521%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.8
France · for
qualifying, per game
11.6
Total corners · projected
4.8
Senegal · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
Above Estimate1.39
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+48.1%
Above Est.
Under 9.5
Below Estimate3.65
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-49.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:29older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
France -0.5
Above Estimate1.50
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+37.9%
Above Est.
Senegal +0.5
Below Estimate3.05
Estimate
1.58
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-39.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 16 Jun 09:30older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 09:30older price · 144d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.1048%Tie 33
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3077%22
4.7521%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
FranceSenegal
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q83%Team corners O3.5Q70%
Q67%Team corners O4.5Q60%
Q50%Match corners O8.5Q30%
Q17%Match corners O9.5Q20%
Q0%Match corners O10.5Q20%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.7 · FRANCE
France
+5.7
net per game
Senegal
+2.2
net per game
Group IView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10-2 | +8 | 9 | |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-7 | +1 | 6 | |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8-6 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-12 | -11 | 0 |
Other Group I matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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