Group · Match 18FIFA World Cup 2026
Iraq
Manager: Graham Arnold
FT1 – 4
Norway
Manager: Ståle Solbakken
39' A. Hussein
29' E. Haaland43' E. Haaland76' L. Østigård90+6' A. Hussein (OG)
Boston Stadium · Tuesday, 16 June 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Norway won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
P. Atcho
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.0% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
1.89
Estimate
1.69
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-9.8%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
No Difference
2.14
Estimate
2.15
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+1.0%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 16 Jun 22:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 22:15older price · 143d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
3.25
Estimate
2.59
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-31.3%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.45
Estimate
1.49
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+14.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 16 Jun 22:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 22:15older price · 143d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
6.60
Estimate
3.31
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
-47.7%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.18
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
+10.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 16 Jun 22:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 22:15older price · 143d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.74
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-4.7%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.36
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-4.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 16 Jun 22:15older price · 143d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Iraq +0
No Difference
1.43
Estimate
1.35
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Norway +0
No Difference
3.40
Estimate
3.18
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 16 Jun 22:15older price · 143d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Aimar Sher
2.75—
Zaid Ismail
2.75—
Frans Putros
2.75—
Rebin Sulaka
2.87—
Marko Farji
2.87—
Zaid Tahseen
2.87—
Merchas Doski
3.10—
Hussein Ali
3.25—
Ahmed Qasem
3.25—
Ahmed Maknzi
3.25—
Ali Al-Hamadi
3.75—
Zidane Iqbal
3.75—
Ali Kadhim
3.75—
Akam Hashim
3.75—
Ali Yousif
4.33—
Amir Al Ammari
4.33—
Mustafa Saadoun
4.33—
Ibrahim Bayesh
4.50—
Kevin Yakob
4.50—
Manaf Younis
4.50—
Morten Thorsby
5.00—
Aymen Hussein
5.00—
Youssef Amyn
5.00—
Ali Jasim
5.00—
Ahmed Yahya
5.00—
Kristoffer Ajer
6.00—
Leo Ostigard
6.00—
Marcus Pedersen
6.00—
Sondre Langas
6.00—
David Wolfe
6.00—
Sander Berge
6.50—
Fredrik Aursnes
6.50—
Fredrik Andre Bjorkan
6.50—
Kristian Thorstvedt
6.50—
Alexander Sorloth
7.50—
Patrick Berg
7.50—
Julian Ryerson
7.50—
Jens Hauge
7.50—
Jalal Hassan
8.00—
Fahad Talib
8.00—
Booked
8.0013%
Ahmed Basil
8.00—
Andreas Schjelderup
8.50—
Martin Odegaard
9.00—
Erling Haaland
9.00—
Torbjorn Heggem
9.00—
Jorgen Larsen
9.00—
Henrik Falchener
10.00—
Thelonious Aasgaard
10.00—
Oscar Bobb
11.00—
Antonio Nusa
11.00—
Orjan Nyland
13.00—
Egil Selvik
13.00—
Sander Tangvik
13.00—
Source: bet365 · 54 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Aimar Sher
7.50—
Zaid Ismail
7.50—
Frans Putros
7.50—
Rebin Sulaka
8.00—
Marko Farji
8.00—
Zaid Tahseen
8.00—
Merchas Doski
9.00—
Hussein Ali
9.50—
Ahmed Qasem
9.50—
Ahmed Maknzi
9.50—
Ali Al-Hamadi
11.00—
Zidane Iqbal
11.00—
Ali Kadhim
11.00—
Akam Hashim
11.00—
Ali Yousif
13.00—
Mustafa Saadoun
13.00—
Amir Al Ammari
13.00—
Morten Thorsby
15.00—
Aymen Hussein
15.00—
Ibrahim Bayesh
15.00—
Kevin Yakob
15.00—
Youssef Amyn
15.00—
Manaf Younis
15.00—
Ali Jasim
15.00—
Ahmed Yahya
15.00—
Kristoffer Ajer
19.00—
Leo Ostigard
19.00—
Marcus Pedersen
19.00—
Sondre Langas
19.00—
David Wolfe
19.00—
Sander Berge
21.00—
Fredrik Aursnes
21.00—
Fredrik Andre Bjorkan
21.00—
Kristian Thorstvedt
21.00—
Alexander Sorloth
23.00—
Patrick Berg
23.00—
Julian Ryerson
23.00—
Jalal Hassan
23.00—
Fahad Talib
23.00—
Ahmed Basil
23.00—
Jens Hauge
23.00—
1st Card
23.004%
Andreas Schjelderup
26.00—
Martin Odegaard
29.00—
Erling Haaland
29.00—
Torbjorn Heggem
29.00—
Henrik Falchener
29.00—
Jorgen Larsen
29.00—
Thelonious Aasgaard
29.00—
Oscar Bobb
34.00—
Antonio Nusa
34.00—
Orjan Nyland
41.00—
Egil Selvik
41.00—
Sander Tangvik
41.00—
Source: bet365 · 54 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Iraq 1 / Norway 0
State
FULL-TIME
86'Yellow card
Zaid Tahseen
Foul
Iraq
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
IraqNorway
1.9
Team cards / g
1.1
3.6
Match cards / g
2.0
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q50%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q38%
Q15%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q0%
Q55%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q13%
Q65%
Both teams carded
Q50%
Overall
Iraq
50%
Over 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
55%
Match O3.5
Norway
38%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5