Group · Match 18FIFA World Cup 2026
Iraq
Manager: Graham Arnold
FT1 – 4
Norway
Manager: Ståle Solbakken
39' A. Hussein
29' E. Haaland43' E. Haaland76' L. Østigård90+6' A. Hussein (OG)
Boston Stadium · Tuesday, 16 June 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Norway won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.2544%Tie -3-3
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
4.0025%22
4.3323%Neither
19.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.4
Iraq · for
qualifying, per game
9.4
Total corners · projected
5.0
Norway · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 8.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 8.5
Above Estimate1.68
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+15.9%
Above Est.
Under 8.5
Below Estimate2.48
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-21.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:29older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Iraq -0.5
Below Estimate3.85
Estimate
1.64
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
-50.7%
Below Est.
Norway +0.5
Above Estimate1.36
Estimate
1.79
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
+37.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 16 Jun 09:31older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 09:31older price · 144d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.2544%Tie -3-3
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
4.0025%22
4.3323%Neither
19.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
IraqNorway
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q35%Team corners O3.5Q75%
Q20%Team corners O4.5Q63%
Q35%Match corners O8.5Q25%
Q25%Match corners O9.5Q13%
Q25%Match corners O10.5Q13%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+2.5 · NORWAY
Iraq
-0.1
net per game
Norway
+2.5
net per game
Group IView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10-2 | +8 | 9 | |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-7 | +1 | 6 | |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8-6 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-12 | -11 | 0 |
Other Group I matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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