R32 · Match 79FIFA World Cup 2026
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
FT2 – 0
Ecuador
Manager: Sebastián Beccacece
22' J. Quiñones31' R. Jiménez
Mexico City Stadium · Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Mexico won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
S. Vinčić
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate1.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
-4.4%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate3.55
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.05
Unibet
-11.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate1.97
Estimate
1.92
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-9.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference2.06
Estimate
1.90
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+0.5%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate3.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.43
Unibet
-21.6%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
No Difference1.47
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.48
Unibet
+3.5%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.0% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.29
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
+4.0%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate4.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.40
Bet365
-22.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Mexico +0
No Difference1.66
Estimate
2.11
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Ecuador +0
No Difference2.54
Estimate
1.74
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Piero Hincapie
2.87—Jackson Porozo
3.10—Moises Caicedo
3.10—Nilson Angulo
3.10—Denil Castillo
3.10—Cesar Montes
3.25—Jesus Gallardo
3.25—Johan Vasquez
3.25—Angelo Preciado
3.25—Yaimar Medina
3.25—Jorge Sanchez
3.50—Alexis Vega
3.50—Edson Alvarez
3.50—Cesar Huerta
3.50—Armando Gonzalez
3.50—Gilberto Mora
3.50—Pervis Estupinan
4.00—Guillermo Martinez
4.00—Felix Torres
4.00—Alan Franco
4.00—John Yeboah
4.00—Israel Reyes
4.00—Kendry Paez
4.00—Booked
4.0025%Luis Chavez
4.33—Julian Quinones
4.33—Luis Romo
4.33—Erik Lira
4.33—Obed Vargas
4.33—Mateo Chavez
4.33—Jordy Caicedo
4.50—Willian Pacho
4.50—Jordy Alcivar
4.50—Anthony Valencia
4.50—Joel Ordonez
4.50—Orbelin Pineda
5.00—Roberto Alvarado
5.00—Alvaro Fidalgo
5.00—Santiago Gimenez
5.00—Brian Gutierrez
5.00—Enner Valencia
5.50—Gonzalo Plata
5.50—Pedro Vite
5.50—Alan Minda
5.50—Jeremy Arevalo
5.50—Kevin Rodriguez
5.50—Raul Jimenez
8.00—Guillermo Ochoa
9.50—Carlos Acevedo
9.50—Jose Rangel
9.50—Gonzalo Valle
10.00—Moises Ramirez
10.00—Hernan Galindez
12.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Piero Hincapie
9.50—Cesar Montes
11.00—Jesus Gallardo
11.00—Jackson Porozo
11.00—Johan Vasquez
11.00—Moises Caicedo
11.00—Nilson Angulo
11.00—Denil Castillo
11.00—Jorge Sanchez
12.00—Alexis Vega
12.00—Edson Alvarez
12.00—Cesar Huerta
12.00—Angelo Preciado
12.00—Armando Gonzalez
12.00—Yaimar Medina
12.00—Gilberto Mora
12.00—Pervis Estupinan
15.00—Guillermo Martinez
15.00—Felix Torres
15.00—Alan Franco
15.00—John Yeboah
15.00—Israel Reyes
15.00—Kendry Paez
15.00—1st Card
15.007%Jordy Caicedo
17.00—Luis Chavez
17.00—Julian Quinones
17.00—Luis Romo
17.00—Willian Pacho
17.00—Jordy Alcivar
17.00—Erik Lira
17.00—Anthony Valencia
17.00—Obed Vargas
17.00—Joel Ordonez
17.00—Mateo Chavez
17.00—Orbelin Pineda
19.00—Roberto Alvarado
19.00—Alvaro Fidalgo
19.00—Santiago Gimenez
19.00—Brian Gutierrez
19.00—Enner Valencia
21.00—Gonzalo Plata
21.00—Pedro Vite
21.00—Alan Minda
21.00—Jeremy Arevalo
21.00—Kevin Rodriguez
21.00—Raul Jimenez
29.00—Guillermo Ochoa
34.00—Gonzalo Valle
34.00—Carlos Acevedo
34.00—Moises Ramirez
34.00—Jose Rangel
34.00—Hernan Galindez
41.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Mexico 0 / Ecuador 4
State
FULL-TIME
45+1'Yellow cardEcuador
Alan Franco
Argument
90+3'Yellow cardEcuador
Kendry Páez
Foul
90+5'Red cardEcuador
Piero Hincapié
Argument
90+9'Yellow cardEcuador
Moisés Caicedo
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
MexicoEcuador
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team cards Over 1.5Q44%
Q—Team cards Over 2.5Q22%
Q—Match cards Over 3.5Q50%
Q—Both teams cardedQ78%
Overall
Mexico
No card data on file
Ecuador
44%
Over 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
6%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.