R32 · Match 79FIFA World Cup 2026
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
FT2 – 0
Ecuador
Manager: Sebastián Beccacece
22' J. Quiñones31' R. Jiménez
Mexico City Stadium · Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Mexico won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
2.2544%Tie
7.0014%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.7258%2
2.2045%Neither
13.008%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
—
Mexico · for
qualifying, per game
7.6
Total corners · projected
3.9
Ecuador · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference4.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference1.31
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Mexico -0.5
Below Estimate2.50
Estimate
1.49
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
-23.6%
Below Est.
Ecuador +0.5
Above Estimate1.68
Estimate
1.55
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+19.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 09:31older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 09:31older price · 130d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.9052%1
2.2544%Tie
7.0014%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.7258%2
2.2045%Neither
13.008%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
MexicoEcuador
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team corners O3.5Q44%
Q—Team corners O4.5Q33%
Q—Match corners O8.5Q33%
Q—Match corners O9.5Q22%
Q—Match corners O10.5Q17%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+0.2 · ECUADOR
Mexico
—
net per game
Ecuador
+0.2
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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