R32 · Match 79FIFA World Cup 2026
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
FT2 – 0
Ecuador
Manager: Sebastián Beccacece
22' J. Quiñones31' R. Jiménez
Mexico City Stadium · Wednesday, 1 July 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Mexico won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds5.99vs book · Bet3652.25STATS DIFF -62.4%
Mexico: no qualifying campaign data
Ecuador
17% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.61
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.43
Pinnacle
2.26
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.50vs book · Pinnacle1.61STATS DIFF -64.3%
Mexico: no qualifying campaign data
Ecuador
22% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.94
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.50vs book · Bet3653.00STATS DIFF -33.4%
Mexico: no qualifying campaign data
Ecuador
22% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.80
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.11
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds17.86vs book · Marathonbet5.80STATS DIFF -67.5%
Mexico: no qualifying campaign data
Ecuador
6% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
0/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 37, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Mexico
3 games · 0 goalless
38'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Ecuador
10 games · 5 goalless
37'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Mexico to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.37
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
3.03
Pinnacle
3.04
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 09:31older price · 130d ago
Market
Ecuador to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.70
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.18
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 30 Jun 23:00older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 09:31older price · 130d ago
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