R16 · Match 92FIFA World Cup 2026
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
FT2 – 3
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
42' J. Quiñones69' R. Jiménez (P)
36' J. Bellingham38' J. Bellingham60' H. Kane (P)
Mexico City Stadium · Monday, 6 July 2026 · 02:00 · FT · England won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
A. Faghani
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.56
Estimate
1.61
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-37.2%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.65
Estimate
2.29
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
+40.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate5.30
Estimate
2.37
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-56.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.24
Estimate
1.57
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+33.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate13.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.20
Unibet
-74.4%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate1.09
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
+20.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
-3.8%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate2.68
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
-3.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Mexico +0
No Difference1.48
Estimate
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
England +0
No Difference3.15
Estimate
2.00
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Cesar Montes
3.50—Jesus Gallardo
3.50—Johan Vasquez
3.50—Jorge Sanchez
3.75—Alexis Vega
3.75—Edson Alvarez
3.75—Cesar Huerta
3.75—Armando Gonzalez
3.75—Gilberto Mora
3.75—Booked
4.0025%Guillermo Martinez
4.33—Israel Reyes
4.33—Dan Burn
4.50—Elliot Anderson
4.50—Reece James
4.50—Djed Spence
4.50—Jude Bellingham
4.50—Luis Chavez
4.75—Julian Quinones
4.75—Luis Romo
4.75—Erik Lira
4.75—Obed Vargas
4.75—Mateo Chavez
4.75—John Stones
5.00—Ivan Toney
5.00—Declan Rice
5.00—Ezri Konsa
5.00—Trevoh Chalobah
5.00—Anthony Gordon
5.00—Jordan Henderson
5.50—Marc Guehi
5.50—Morgan Rogers
5.50—Jarell Quansah
5.50—Kobbie Mainoo
5.50—Nico O'Reilly
5.50—Orbelin Pineda
6.00—Roberto Alvarado
6.00—Alvaro Fidalgo
6.00—Santiago Gimenez
6.00—Brian Gutierrez
6.00—Bukayo Saka
7.00—Jordan Pickford
8.50—Ollie Watkins
8.50—Dean Henderson
8.50—James Trafford
8.50—Raul Jimenez
9.00—Harry Kane
11.00—Marcus Rashford
11.00—Eberechi Eze
11.00—Guillermo Ochoa
11.00—Carlos Acevedo
11.00—Noni Madueke
11.00—Jose Rangel
11.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Cesar Montes
11.00—Jesus Gallardo
11.00—Johan Vasquez
11.00—Jorge Sanchez
12.00—Alexis Vega
12.00—Edson Alvarez
12.00—Cesar Huerta
12.00—Armando Gonzalez
12.00—Gilberto Mora
12.00—1st Card
12.008%Dan Burn
13.00—Guillermo Martinez
13.00—Elliot Anderson
13.00—Reece James
13.00—Djed Spence
13.00—Israel Reyes
13.00—Jude Bellingham
13.00—Luis Chavez
15.00—Julian Quinones
15.00—Luis Romo
15.00—Erik Lira
15.00—Obed Vargas
15.00—Mateo Chavez
15.00—John Stones
17.00—Ivan Toney
17.00—Declan Rice
17.00—Ezri Konsa
17.00—Trevoh Chalobah
17.00—Anthony Gordon
17.00—Jordan Henderson
19.00—Orbelin Pineda
19.00—Roberto Alvarado
19.00—Alvaro Fidalgo
19.00—Santiago Gimenez
19.00—Marc Guehi
19.00—Morgan Rogers
19.00—Jarell Quansah
19.00—Brian Gutierrez
19.00—Kobbie Mainoo
19.00—Nico O'Reilly
19.00—Bukayo Saka
21.00—Jordan Pickford
26.00—Ollie Watkins
26.00—Dean Henderson
26.00—James Trafford
26.00—Raul Jimenez
29.00—Harry Kane
34.00—Marcus Rashford
34.00—Eberechi Eze
34.00—Guillermo Ochoa
34.00—Carlos Acevedo
34.00—Noni Madueke
34.00—Jose Rangel
34.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Mexico 2 / England 5
State
FULL-TIME
1'Yellow cardEngland
Declan Rice
Foul
54'Red cardEngland
Jarell Quansah
Foul
68'Yellow cardEngland
Marc Guéhi
Argument
71'Yellow cardMexico
Jorge Sánchez
Argument
72'Yellow cardEngland
Nico O'Reilly
Argument
90+8'Yellow cardMexico
Johan Vásquez
Argument
90+8'Yellow cardEngland
Jordan Henderson
Argument
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
MexicoEngland
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team cards Over 1.5Q13%
Q—Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q—Match cards Over 3.5Q13%
Q—Both teams cardedQ63%
Overall
Mexico
No card data on file
England
13%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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