R16 · Match 92FIFA World Cup 2026
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
FT2 – 3
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
42' J. Quiñones69' R. Jiménez (P)
36' J. Bellingham38' J. Bellingham60' H. Kane (P)
Mexico City Stadium · Monday, 6 July 2026 · 02:00 · FT · England won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds—vs book · Bet3652.00STATS DIFF —
Mexico: no qualifying campaign data
England
0% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.47
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.77
Pinnacle
2.51
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.14vs book · Pinnacle1.47STATS DIFF +28.6%
Mexico: no qualifying campaign data
England
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.55
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.54
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.67vs book · Pinnacle2.55STATS DIFF -4.4%
Mexico: no qualifying campaign data
England
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.50
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.15
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.00vs book · Marathonbet4.50STATS DIFF +12.5%
Mexico: no qualifying campaign data
England
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 35, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Mexico
4 games · 0 goalless
34'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
England
10 games · 1 goalless
35'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Mexico to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.46
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.75
Pinnacle
2.68
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 09:31older price · 125d ago
Market
England to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.36
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
3.09
Pinnacle
3.04
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 5 Jul 23:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 09:31older price · 125d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.