R16 · Match 92FIFA World Cup 2026
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
FT2 – 3
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
42' J. Quiñones69' R. Jiménez (P)
36' J. Bellingham38' J. Bellingham60' H. Kane (P)
Mexico City Stadium · Monday, 6 July 2026 · 02:00 · FT · England won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%2
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.6660%1
2.1048%Neither
19.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
—
Mexico · for
qualifying, per game
9.6
Total corners · projected
7.5
England · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference2.04
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference1.99
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Mexico -0.5
Below Estimate43.00
Estimate
1.47
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
-95.3%
Below Est.
England +0.5
Above Estimate1.03
Estimate
2.46
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
+82.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 5 Jul 09:31older price · 125d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 09:31older price · 125d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.9052%2
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.6660%1
2.1048%Neither
19.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
MexicoEngland
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team corners O3.5Q100%
Q—Team corners O4.5Q88%
Q—Match corners O8.5Q63%
Q—Match corners O9.5Q63%
Q—Match corners O10.5Q50%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.4 · ENGLAND
Mexico
—
net per game
England
+5.4
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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