Group · Match 28FIFA World Cup 2026
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
FT1 – 0
Korea Republic
Manager: Myung-Bo Hong
50' L. Romo
Guadalajara Stadium · Friday, 19 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Mexico won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
G. Tejera
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
1.56
Estimate
1.57
Pinnacle
1.50
Unibet
-1.3%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.80
Estimate
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
Unibet
-13.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 18 Jun 22:46older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 22:46older price · 141d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.38
Estimate
2.28
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-13.8%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference
1.73
Estimate
1.62
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+1.8%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jun 22:46older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 22:46older price · 141d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
2.93
Pinnacle
3.30
Unibet
-19.5%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
No Difference
1.32
Estimate
1.37
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 18 Jun 22:46older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 22:46older price · 141d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.78
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
-19.1%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
2.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
+22.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jun 22:46older price · 141d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Mexico +0
No Difference
1.27
Estimate
2.36
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Korea Republic +0
No Difference
4.80
Estimate
1.58
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 18 Jun 22:46older price · 141d ago
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Mexico 0 / Korea Republic 2
State
FULL-TIME
4'Yellow card
Kang-in Lee
Foul
Korea Republic
58'Yellow card
Seung-ho Paik
Foul
Korea Republic
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
MexicoKorea Republic
—
Team cards / g
1.1
—
Match cards / g
3.3
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—
Team cards Over 1.5
Q19%
Q—
Team cards Over 2.5
Q13%
Q—
Match cards Over 3.5
Q44%
Q—
Both teams carded
Q56%
Overall
Mexico
No card data on file
Korea Republic
19%
Over 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
6%
Over 3.5
44%
Match O3.5