Group · Match 28FIFA World Cup 2026
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
FT1 – 0
Korea Republic
Manager: Myung-Bo Hong
50' L. Romo
Guadalajara Stadium · Friday, 19 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Mexico won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.2045%Tie 22
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
2.6238%11
6.0017%Neither
23.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
—
Mexico · for
qualifying, per game
9.1
Total corners · projected
6.9
Korea Republic · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.0% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9
No Difference2.02
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+2.0%
Below Bar
Under 9
Below Estimate1.99
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-6.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:30older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Mexico -0.5
Below Estimate25.00
Estimate
1.63
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-92.5%
Below Est.
Korea Republic +0.5
Above Estimate1.05
Estimate
1.71
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+96.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jun 09:31older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 09:31older price · 142d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
1.9052%11
2.2045%Tie 22
7.5013%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
2.6238%11
6.0017%Neither
23.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
MexicoKorea Republic
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team corners O3.5Q63%
Q—Team corners O4.5Q44%
Q—Match corners O8.5Q44%
Q—Match corners O9.5Q44%
Q—Match corners O10.5Q38%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.6 · KOREA REPUBLIC
Mexico
—
net per game
Korea Republic
+4.6
net per game
Group AView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6-0 | +6 | 9 | |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 3 | Korea Republic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | -4 | 1 |
Other Group A matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.