Group · Match 1FIFA World Cup 2026
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
FT2 – 0
South Africa
Manager: Hugo Broos
9' J. Quiñones67' R. Jiménez
Mexico City Stadium · Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Mexico won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
W. Pereira Sampaio
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate1.48
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
-11.8%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate3.15
Estimate
3.36
Pinnacle
3.30
Unibet
+8.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 11 Jun 19:29older price · 148d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jun 19:29older price · 148d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate2.16
Estimate
1.61
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-21.0%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.87
Estimate
2.30
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+15.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jun 19:29older price · 148d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jun 19:29older price · 148d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate3.65
Estimate
2.33
Pinnacle
2.25
Unibet
-36.6%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate1.38
Estimate
1.60
Pinnacle
1.55
Unibet
+15.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 11 Jun 19:29older price · 148d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jun 19:29older price · 148d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.67
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
-16.0%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate2.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
+23.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jun 19:29older price · 148d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Mexico +0
No Difference1.73
Estimate
2.67
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
South Africa +0
No Difference2.38
Estimate
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 11 Jun 19:29older price · 148d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
4.7521%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
15.007%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Mexico 2 / South Africa 4
State
FULL-TIME
17'Yellow cardSouth Africa
Teboho Mokoena
Foul
23'Yellow cardMexico
Brian Gutiérrez
Foul
49'Red cardSouth Africa
Yaya Sithole
Professional foul last man
74'Yellow cardSouth Africa
Nkosinathi Sibisi
Foul
84'Red cardSouth Africa
Themba Zwane
Violent conduct
90+2'Red cardMexico
César Montes
Professional foul last man
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
MexicoSouth Africa
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team cards Over 1.5Q40%
Q—Team cards Over 2.5Q40%
Q—Match cards Over 3.5Q40%
Q—Both teams cardedQ60%
Overall
Mexico
No card data on file
South Africa
40%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
40%
Match O3.5
Group AView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6-0 | +6 | 9 | |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 3 | Korea Republic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | -4 | 1 |
Other Group A matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.