Group · Match 11FIFA World Cup 2026
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
FT2 – 2
Japan
Manager: Hajime Moriyasu
51' V. Dijk64' C. Summerville
57' K. Nakamura89' D. Kamada
Dallas Stadium · Sunday, 14 June 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
I. Elfath
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.56
Estimate
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-35.6%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.65
Estimate
2.31
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+37.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 20:15older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 20:15older price · 145d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
5.30
Estimate
2.45
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-58.8%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.24
Estimate
1.54
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+37.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 20:15older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 20:15older price · 145d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
13.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.15
Unibet
-74.8%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.09
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
+22.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 14 Jun 20:15older price · 145d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-29.9%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.78
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
+30.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 20:15older price · 145d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Netherlands +0
No Difference
1.80
Estimate
2.43
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Japan +0
No Difference
2.28
Estimate
1.55
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 14 Jun 20:15older price · 145d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
6.5015%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
19.005%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Netherlands 3 / Japan 0
State
FULL-TIME
61'Yellow card
Crysencio Summerville
Foul
Netherlands
83'Yellow card
Memphis Depay
Foul
Netherlands
90+1'Yellow card
Micky van de Ven
Foul
Netherlands
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
NetherlandsJapan
0.9
Team cards / g
0.7
2.8
Match cards / g
1.8
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q25%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q6%
Q0%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q0%
Q13%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q19%
Q50%
Both teams carded
Q38%
Overall
Netherlands
25%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5
Japan
6%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
19%
Match O3.5
Group FView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Netherlands
321010-4+67
2
Japan
31207-3+45
3
Sweden
31117-704
4
Tunisia
30032-12-100
Other Group F matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
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ABCDEFGHIJKL
Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices