Group · Match 11FIFA World Cup 2026
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
FT2 – 2
Japan
Manager: Hajime Moriyasu
51' V. Dijk64' C. Summerville
57' K. Nakamura89' D. Kamada
Dallas Stadium · Sunday, 14 June 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.9052%22
2.2045%Tie 11
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
6.0017%22
6.0017%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
OVER 14 RANGE
Most likely band is Over 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.5
Netherlands · for
qualifying, per game
13.7
Total corners · projected
7.2
Japan · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
Above Estimate1.15
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+80.2%
Above Est.
Under 9.5
Below Estimate8.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-77.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:28older price · 150d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Netherlands -0.5
Below Estimate2.70
Estimate
1.53
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-25.6%
Below Est.
Japan +0.5
Above Estimate1.60
Estimate
1.90
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+19.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 09:30older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 09:30older price · 146d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.9052%22
2.2045%Tie 11
8.0013%Tie
8.0013%Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
6.0017%22
6.0017%Neither
29.003%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
NetherlandsJapan
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q88%Team corners O3.5Q88%
Q88%Team corners O4.5Q81%
Q25%Match corners O8.5Q56%
Q25%Match corners O9.5Q31%
Q25%Match corners O10.5Q19%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+5.5 · JAPAN
Netherlands
+4.6
net per game
Japan
+5.5
net per game
Group FView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10-4 | +6 | 7 | |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7-3 | +4 | 5 | |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-7 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-12 | -10 | 0 |
Other Group F matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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