R32 · Match 75FIFA World Cup 2026
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
FT1 – 1
Morocco
Manager: Mohamed Ouahbi
72' C. Gakpo
90+1' I. Diop
Monterrey Stadium · Tuesday, 30 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Morocco won after penalties.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
W. Pereira Sampaio
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.43
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.47
Unibet
+5.8%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate3.40
Estimate
2.51
Pinnacle
2.48
Unibet
-24.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate2.06
Estimate
2.08
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-4.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate1.97
Estimate
1.76
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-5.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate3.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.05
Unibet
-7.6%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate1.43
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.32
Unibet
-5.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
-30.3%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate2.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
+53.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Netherlands +0
No Difference3.10
Estimate
1.79
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Morocco +0
No Difference1.48
Estimate
2.05
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
3.7527%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
11.009%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Netherlands 0 / Morocco 1
State
FULL-TIME
47'Yellow cardMorocco
Issa Diop
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
NetherlandsMorocco
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q25%Team cards Over 1.5Q38%
Q0%Team cards Over 2.5Q25%
Q13%Match cards Over 3.5Q75%
Q50%Both teams cardedQ50%
Overall
Netherlands
25%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5
Morocco
38%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
75%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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