R32 · Match 75FIFA World Cup 2026
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
FT1 – 1
Morocco
Manager: Mohamed Ouahbi
72' C. Gakpo
90+1' I. Diop
Monterrey Stadium · Tuesday, 30 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Morocco won after penalties.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
2.0050%1
2.1048%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.6162%2
2.2045%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
12 TO 14 RANGE
Most likely band is 12 to 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.5
Netherlands · for
qualifying, per game
12.6
Total corners · projected
6.1
Morocco · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.24
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference5.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.4% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Netherlands -0.5
Below Estimate2.20
Estimate
1.76
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
-15.0%
Below Est.
Morocco +0.5
No Difference1.84
Estimate
2.01
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+3.4%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 09:31older price · 131d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 09:31older price · 131d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
2.0050%1
2.1048%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
1.6162%2
2.2045%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
NetherlandsMorocco
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q88%Team corners O3.5Q63%
Q88%Team corners O4.5Q63%
Q25%Match corners O8.5Q25%
Q25%Match corners O9.5Q25%
Q25%Match corners O10.5Q13%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.6 · NETHERLANDS
Netherlands
+4.6
net per game
Morocco
+4.3
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.