R32 · Match 75FIFA World Cup 2026
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
FT1 – 1
Morocco
Manager: Mohamed Ouahbi
72' C. Gakpo
90+1' I. Diop
Monterrey Stadium · Tuesday, 30 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Morocco won after penalties.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.20vs book · Bet3651.90STATS DIFF -40.6%
Netherlands
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.26
Pinnacle
3.04
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.07vs book · Pinnacle1.36STATS DIFF +27.5%
Netherlands
100% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
10/10
Morocco
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.18
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.74
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.78vs book · Bet3652.20STATS DIFF +23.8%
Netherlands
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Morocco
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.78
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.24
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.29vs book · Marathonbet3.78STATS DIFF +65.4%
Netherlands
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 22, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Netherlands
10 games · 0 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Morocco
10 games · 0 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Netherlands to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.28
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
3.62
Pinnacle
3.52
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 09:31older price · 131d ago
Market
Morocco to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.46
Pinnacle
1.43
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.76
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 29 Jun 23:45older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 09:31older price · 131d ago
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