Group · Match 35FIFA World Cup 2026
Netherlands
Manager: Ronald Koeman
FT5 – 1
Sweden
Manager: Graham Potter
5' B. Brobbey17' B. Brobbey47' C. Gakpo54' C. Gakpo89' C. Summerville
59' A. Elanga
Houston Stadium · Saturday, 20 June 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Netherlands won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
M. Oliver
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
1.48
Estimate
1.73
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
+9.0%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
3.15
Estimate
2.13
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
-26.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 16:31older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 16:31older price · 139d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate
2.16
Estimate
2.62
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
+7.1%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.87
Estimate
1.48
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-13.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 16:31older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 16:31older price · 139d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
3.65
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.25
Unibet
-8.5%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate
1.38
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
-4.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 20 Jun 16:31older price · 139d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.46
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
+5.6%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
3.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
-20.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 16:31older price · 139d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Netherlands +0
No Difference
5.20
Estimate
2.19
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Sweden +0
No Difference
1.24
Estimate
1.69
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 20 Jun 16:31older price · 139d ago
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Netherlands 0 / Sweden 3
State
FULL-TIME
53'Yellow card
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Foul
Sweden
75'Yellow card
Yasin Ayari
Foul
Sweden
80'Yellow card
Lucas Bergvall
Foul
Sweden
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
NetherlandsSweden
0.9
Team cards / g
2.0
2.8
Match cards / g
4.3
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q25%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q63%
Q0%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q25%
Q13%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q50%
Q50%
Both teams carded
Q88%
Overall
Netherlands
25%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5
Sweden
63%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5